Subaru Enthusiasts Car Club of the Sierras  

Go Back   Subaru Enthusiasts Car Club of the Sierras > Car Enthusiast Forums > Motorsports Chat
Reload this Page Can Scott win STX?
FAQ Calendar Today's Posts Search

Motorsports Chat Autocross, rallycross, and track event planning, as well as general motorsport discussion.

Reply
Page 1 of 2 1 2
 
Thread Tools
Old 2004-06-16, 10:07 AM   #1
MikeK
Captain Turbo
 
MikeK's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Reno
Posts: 3,318
 
Car: 05 STi
Default Can Scott win STX?
I had a bit of "spare" time at work (what I like to call "morning", as opposed to "afternoon", when I like to nap), so I started doing a few calculations.

There are 8 autocross races left, so I looked at 2 scenarios (all assume 4 people competing for STX, so the points available are 21, 16, 14 and 12 for the 4 positions):

1. Scott wins every one of the remaining 8 races

If Scott comes first in STX in every one of those 8 races, he will end the season with 308 points with no drops, and 248 points with 4 drops.

What does Dean have to do to win? If he comes second in 2 races (16 points each) and third in 2 races (14 points each) then doesn't even bother showing up for the last 4 races he will end the season with 249 points, and win STX by 1 point.

2. Dean continues to win every race

On the other hand, if Dean continues to come first in every race, and Scott continues to come second, Dean will win STX in 3 more races (after round 12). At that point, even if Dean missed the last 5 races he would end up with 252 points. If Scott then went on to win the last 5 races he would still only end up with 233 with 4 drops.

So in order to win STX Dean needs to either:

- Win 2 races and just show up to a third race
- Win 1 race and just show up to 3 races
- Come second in 2 races and third in 2 races

Sorry scott, but I don't like your chances
MikeK is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 10:18 AM   #2
ArthurS
EJ207
 
ArthurS's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 3,707
 
Car: 2011 Chevy Battle Wagon
Default
__________________
Captain Murphy: I dub thee Sir Phobos, Knight of Mars, beater of ass. Be a hitter, babe.
ArthurS is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 10:27 AM   #3
Kevin M
EJ22T
 
Kevin M's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Reno
Posts: 9,445
 
Car: '93/'01 GF6, mostly red
Class: 19 FP
Default
Street Mod is still entirely up for grabs Scott....
__________________
FWD is the new AWD
Kevin M is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 10:27 AM   #4
AtomicLabMonkey
Nightwalker
 
AtomicLabMonkey's Avatar
 
Real Name: Austin
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Oshkosh, WI
Posts: 4,063
 
Car: '13 WRX
 
YGBSM
Default Re: Can Scott win STX?
Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeK
1. Scott wins every one of the remaining 8 races


2. Dean continues to win every race
Attached Images
 
__________________
"None of you seem to understand. I'm not locked in here with you.. you're locked in here with me."
AtomicLabMonkey is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 10:27 AM   #5
sperry
The Doink
 
sperry's Avatar
 
Real Name: Scott
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 20,335
 
Car: '09 OBXT, '02 WRX, '96 Miata
Class: PDX/TT-6
 
The way out is through
Default Re: Can Scott win STX?
Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeK
Sorry scott, but I don't like your chances


I'm not surprised. To be honest, the interesting numbers would be to figure out what you need to do in order to beat me for 2nd in STX!

As far as gettin whupped by Dean... no biggie. I feel like I've already improved a ton over last season having Dean to chase after, and that's what I need to do if I want to ever be competative at a national level.

Last season the pressure from Theo really helped me to get better. Unfortunately I think Theo over-cooked his tires near the end of the season last year, so I pulled away. It's too bad he didn't campaign the white wagon this season with Dean, Tyson and I (and now Mike!)... it would have been an awesome dog-fight (well, at least for 2nd place)! But if I had a race-prepped Ghia in my garage, I'd race that in a heartbeat over a WRX.
__________________
Is you is, or is you ain't, my con-stit-u-ints?
sperry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 10:29 AM   #6
sperry
The Doink
 
sperry's Avatar
 
Real Name: Scott
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 20,335
 
Car: '09 OBXT, '02 WRX, '96 Miata
Class: PDX/TT-6
 
The way out is through
Default Re: Can Scott win STX?
Quote:
Originally Posted by AtomicLabMonkey
Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeK
1. Scott wins every one of the remaining 8 races


2. Dean continues to win every race
You == owned by Tripod.... don't you know not to link to images over there!!?
__________________
Is you is, or is you ain't, my con-stit-u-ints?
sperry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 10:30 AM   #7
sperry
The Doink
 
sperry's Avatar
 
Real Name: Scott
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 20,335
 
Car: '09 OBXT, '02 WRX, '96 Miata
Class: PDX/TT-6
 
The way out is through
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by BAN SUVS
Street Mod is still entirely up for grabs Scott....
I don't think there are enough events left for me to run SM and win anything.
__________________
Is you is, or is you ain't, my con-stit-u-ints?
sperry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 10:31 AM   #8
AtomicLabMonkey
Nightwalker
 
AtomicLabMonkey's Avatar
 
Real Name: Austin
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Oshkosh, WI
Posts: 4,063
 
Car: '13 WRX
 
YGBSM
Default Re: Can Scott win STX?
Quote:
Originally Posted by sperry
You == owned by Tripod.... don't you know not to link to images over there!!?
That picture was too good not to.
__________________
"None of you seem to understand. I'm not locked in here with you.. you're locked in here with me."
AtomicLabMonkey is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 10:37 AM   #9
Kevin M
EJ22T
 
Kevin M's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Reno
Posts: 9,445
 
Car: '93/'01 GF6, mostly red
Class: 19 FP
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by sperry
Quote:
Originally Posted by BAN SUVS
Street Mod is still entirely up for grabs Scott....
I don't think there are enough events left for me to run SM and win anything.
Actually you could probably win SM on your Kumhos. Jim is the only one running it regularly, and his raw times are mostly slower than yours. Still plenty of events left.
__________________
FWD is the new AWD
Kevin M is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 10:40 AM   #10
sperry
The Doink
 
sperry's Avatar
 
Real Name: Scott
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 20,335
 
Car: '09 OBXT, '02 WRX, '96 Miata
Class: PDX/TT-6
 
The way out is through
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by BAN SUVS
Quote:
Originally Posted by sperry
Quote:
Originally Posted by BAN SUVS
Street Mod is still entirely up for grabs Scott....
I don't think there are enough events left for me to run SM and win anything.
Actually you could probably win SM on your Kumhos. Jim is the only one running it regularly, and his raw times are mostly slower than yours. Still plenty of events left.
You have to run 51% of the events in one class to be eligible for a season championship... we've run 9 out of 17... so the 8 events left aren't enough to pull off a win... true I might be able to get a points lead, but it wouldn't be worth a trophy.

Oh, and I have Falkens...
__________________
Is you is, or is you ain't, my con-stit-u-ints?
sperry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 11:56 AM   #11
MattR
El Matador
 
MattR's Avatar
 
Real Name: Matt
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 10,660
 
Car: 2012 Toyota Tacoma
Class: ?
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by BAN SUVS
Quote:
Originally Posted by sperry
Quote:
Originally Posted by BAN SUVS
Street Mod is still entirely up for grabs Scott....
I don't think there are enough events left for me to run SM and win anything.
Actually you could probably win SM on your Kumhos. Jim is the only one running it regularly, and his raw times are mostly slower than yours. Still plenty of events left.
Kumhos'??? We don;t have no stinking Kumhos...

Scott, I'll switch to SM with you and we can battle it out to the end of the season... John Evans is kicking my ass every week in street tire anyway....

I guess we can just focus on PAX...The battle for 10th place!!!
__________________
"Dallas..We have a problem.”
MattR is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 12:55 PM   #12
Kevin M
EJ22T
 
Kevin M's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Reno
Posts: 9,445
 
Car: '93/'01 GF6, mostly red
Class: 19 FP
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by MattR
Kumhos'??? We don;t have no stinking Kumhos...

Scott, I'll switch to SM with you and we can battle it out to the end of the season... John Evans is kicking my ass every week in street tire anyway....

I guess we can just focus on PAX...The battle for 10th place!!!
Nice... talk someone who was running slower raw times than you into a PAX class that's like .15 higher... way to be a nice guy there sport.
__________________
FWD is the new AWD
Kevin M is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 04:22 PM   #13
Dean
Señor Cheap Bastarde
 
Dean's Avatar
 
Real Name: Dean
Join Date: May 2003
Location: $99 Tire Store
Posts: 9,294
 
Car: $.04 STI
Class: Fast,Cheap & Reliable=STI
 
Deal, did somebody say Deal? Oh, Dean, yeah that's me.
Default
Wow, you work all day, and miss an entire oportunity to gloat...

I still have an SM car handy to spank you boys with, so don't even go there...

And most importantly, it is to late to switch classes. You must have 51%, or 9 events in a class to be eligible for the season awards this year... Only 8 left... Sorry.
__________________
I am a Commodore PET --- Now get off my lawn you kids...
Dean is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 04:24 PM   #14
sperry
The Doink
 
sperry's Avatar
 
Real Name: Scott
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 20,335
 
Car: '09 OBXT, '02 WRX, '96 Miata
Class: PDX/TT-6
 
The way out is through
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dean
Wow, you work all day, and miss an entire oportunity to gloat...

I still have an SM car handy to spank you boys with, so don't even go there...

And most importantly, it is to late to switch classes. You must have 51%, or 9 events in a class to be eligible for the season awards this year... Only 8 left... Sorry.
WT3PA.
__________________
Is you is, or is you ain't, my con-stit-u-ints?
sperry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 04:24 PM   #15
dknv
EJ207
 
dknv's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: 39n53, 119w90
Posts: 2,698
 
Car: RX-8
Class: CS maybe
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dean
Wow, you work all day, and miss an entire oportunity to gloat...
Gloat, d'you mean how close he got to you on Sat.?
dknv is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 04:26 PM   #16
sperry
The Doink
 
sperry's Avatar
 
Real Name: Scott
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 20,335
 
Car: '09 OBXT, '02 WRX, '96 Miata
Class: PDX/TT-6
 
The way out is through
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by dknv
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dean
Wow, you work all day, and miss an entire oportunity to gloat...
Gloat, d'you mean how close he got to you on Sat.?
Muhahahhhhhaha! Owned!
__________________
Is you is, or is you ain't, my con-stit-u-ints?
sperry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 04:27 PM   #17
Kevin M
EJ22T
 
Kevin M's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Reno
Posts: 9,445
 
Car: '93/'01 GF6, mostly red
Class: 19 FP
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by sperry
Quote:
Originally Posted by dknv
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dean
Wow, you work all day, and miss an entire oportunity to gloat...
Gloat, d'you mean how close he got to you on Sat.?
Muhahahhhhhaha! Owned!
Ask any racer, any REAl racer, and he'll tell you... whether it's by an inch or a mile, winning is winning.
__________________
FWD is the new AWD
Kevin M is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 04:30 PM   #18
sperry
The Doink
 
sperry's Avatar
 
Real Name: Scott
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 20,335
 
Car: '09 OBXT, '02 WRX, '96 Miata
Class: PDX/TT-6
 
The way out is through
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by BAN SUVS
Quote:
Originally Posted by sperry
Quote:
Originally Posted by dknv
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dean
Wow, you work all day, and miss an entire oportunity to gloat...
Gloat, d'you mean how close he got to you on Sat.?
Muhahahhhhhaha! Owned!
Ask any racer, any REAl racer, and he'll tell you... whether it's by an inch or a mile, winning is winning.
I gotta capture and post my last run video from Sunday... I actually made that joke on myself after I was back on grid.

(IBAustinTellsMeHeStillHasn'tSeenTheVideoFromAtwat er)
__________________
Is you is, or is you ain't, my con-stit-u-ints?
sperry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 04:35 PM   #19
dknv
EJ207
 
dknv's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: 39n53, 119w90
Posts: 2,698
 
Car: RX-8
Class: CS maybe
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by sperry
Quote:
Originally Posted by BAN SUVS
Quote:
Originally Posted by sperry
Quote:
Originally Posted by dknv
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dean
Wow, you work all day, and miss an entire oportunity to gloat...
Gloat, d'you mean how close he got to you on Sat.?
Muhahahhhhhaha! Owned!
Ask any racer, any REAl racer, and he'll tell you... whether it's by an inch or a mile, winning is winning.
I gotta capture and post my last run video from Sunday... I actually made that joke on myself after I was back on grid.

(IBAustinTellsMeHeStillHasn'tSeenTheVideoFromAtwat er)
For Real! I want to hear the end part with the expletive deleteds!
dknv is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 04:36 PM   #20
sperry
The Doink
 
sperry's Avatar
 
Real Name: Scott
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 20,335
 
Car: '09 OBXT, '02 WRX, '96 Miata
Class: PDX/TT-6
 
The way out is through
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by dknv
For Real! I want to hear the end part with the expletive deleteds!
I think I say "Damn" about 100 times as I'm blowing the last turn...
__________________
Is you is, or is you ain't, my con-stit-u-ints?
sperry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 04:38 PM   #21
Dean
Señor Cheap Bastarde
 
Dean's Avatar
 
Real Name: Dean
Join Date: May 2003
Location: $99 Tire Store
Posts: 9,294
 
Car: $.04 STI
Class: Fast,Cheap & Reliable=STI
 
Deal, did somebody say Deal? Oh, Dean, yeah that's me.
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by sperry
WT3PA.


And before we go throwing around Owned's, who came in second on Saturday in STX???

Great driving Mike... Keep reading the Solo Bible...
__________________
I am a Commodore PET --- Now get off my lawn you kids...
Dean is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 04:41 PM   #22
sperry
The Doink
 
sperry's Avatar
 
Real Name: Scott
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Portland, OR
Posts: 20,335
 
Car: '09 OBXT, '02 WRX, '96 Miata
Class: PDX/TT-6
 
The way out is through
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dean
Quote:
Originally Posted by sperry
WT3PA.


And before we go throwing around Owned's, who came in second on Saturday in STX???

Great driving Mike... Keep reading the Solo Bible...
I got nuthin on that one. Mike was plain old faster than me... 'course he was driving your car Dean. I think it's the holes in your fenders making the car lighter! (Wait a minute... I could have protested *both* of you guys and taken 1st place for the weekend!!! )
__________________
Is you is, or is you ain't, my con-stit-u-ints?
sperry is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 04:43 PM   #23
MattR
El Matador
 
MattR's Avatar
 
Real Name: Matt
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 10,660
 
Car: 2012 Toyota Tacoma
Class: ?
Default
pOrtest!!!!!!!!!!!
__________________
"Dallas..We have a problem.”
MattR is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 04:45 PM   #24
Dean
Señor Cheap Bastarde
 
Dean's Avatar
 
Real Name: Dean
Join Date: May 2003
Location: $99 Tire Store
Posts: 9,294
 
Car: $.04 STI
Class: Fast,Cheap & Reliable=STI
 
Deal, did somebody say Deal? Oh, Dean, yeah that's me.
Default
Again, WT3PA = Even google couldn't help me on this one...
__________________
I am a Commodore PET --- Now get off my lawn you kids...
Dean is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 2004-06-16, 04:45 PM   #25
Kevin M
EJ22T
 
Kevin M's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Reno
Posts: 9,445
 
Car: '93/'01 GF6, mostly red
Class: 19 FP
Default
welcome to 3 posts ago. Sheesh.
__________________
FWD is the new AWD
Kevin M is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply
Page 1 of 2 1 2

« Previous Thread | Next Thread »

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Fine Scott you win, no more white vents... JC General Subaru Discussion & Club Chat 11 2005-06-01 05:07 PM
Final Autocross of 2004 This weekend MattR Motorsports Chat 76 2004-10-18 09:50 AM
Matt and Scott take on Reno Fernley Raceway! MattR Motorsports Chat 33 2004-02-11 10:33 AM
WOW! STX standing are close!!! MattR Motorsports Chat 9 2003-07-11 03:51 PM
Welcome me to STX, the ALK is off! sperry Technical Chat 6 2003-06-09 03:32 PM


All times are GMT -8. The time now is 03:58 PM.

SECCS Homepage - Archive - Top

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
All Content Copyright Subaru Enthusiasts Car Club of the Sierras unless otherwise noted.